A 15% CoC Deal Isn't Always a Good Deal. ProfitScore Tells You Why.

Profitability (0-100): Pure financial quality — weighs cash-on-cash return, monthly cash flow, equity position, cap rate, DSCR, breakeven period, and market quality (crime, schools, employment, growth, appreciation). Confidence (0-100%): Data reliability — evaluates comp quality, rent source agreement, condition assessment clarity, and ARV data across four sub-scores (C_price, C_rent, C_rehab, C_arv), weighted by strategy. Risk Grade (A-F): External future risk — market volatility, vacancy rates, market direction, interest rate sensitivity, liquidity, regulatory risk, and natural hazard exposure. Composite ProfitScore (0-100): Combines Profitability with the Monte Carlo-derived probability of meeting your return targets.

DealProfit runs 1,000+ scenarios for each deal. In each simulation, uncertain inputs — rent, market value, vacancy, expenses, appreciation — are varied within ranges derived from the Confidence score. High confidence means narrow ranges (e.g., rent varies ±3%). Low confidence means wide ranges (e.g., rent varies ±18%). The result is a distribution of outcomes: P10 (pessimistic), P50 (expected), and P90 (optimistic) for every metric, plus the probability of positive cash flow, exceeding your CoC target, and meeting your equity goals.

Yes. The Composite ProfitScore factors in your specific targets — your CoC target, cash flow target, equity target, and cap rate target — through the 'probability of success' component. A deal is scored on how likely it is to meet YOUR targets based on Monte Carlo simulations, not generic industry benchmarks. Two investors analyzing the same property will see different Composite scores if they have different return targets.

A high ProfitScore (65+) means strong financial metrics, reliable data from multiple sources, manageable external risk, and high probability of meeting your targets across 1,000+ simulations. A low ProfitScore (below 35) means the deal has poor financials, unreliable data, high market risk, or low probability of meeting your targets — or some combination. The breakdown tells you which factor is dragging the score down, so you know if the issue is fixable (e.g., verify rent data) or fundamental (e.g., the numbers just don't work).

Yes. Every deal you analyze — even on the Free tier — includes the full four-score ProfitScore breakdown with Monte Carlo ranges. The Free tier covers unlimited manual analysis. Pro plans add ProfitRank (pre-ranked deals in your market), automated sourcing, and deal alerts. Compare plans.

Most scoring tools give you one opaque number. ProfitScore gives you four transparent scores, each answering a different question. The Confidence score is unique — no other tool tells you how reliable the underlying data is. And Monte Carlo simulation replaces false-precision point estimates with probability ranges. A ProfitScore of 72 with 88% Confidence and a Risk Grade of B tells you more in 3 seconds than a competitor's "Score: 7.5/10." Compare with DealCheck.